The December quarter CPI to be released on Wednesday is seen at 0.4% q/q and 2% y/y, according to Friday’s Reuters poll. This is somewhat higher than the 0.1% q/q and 1.7% y/y implied by the TD-MI inflation gauge.
The trimmed mean is seen at 0.6% q/q and a steady 3.2% y/y. The weighted median is seen at 0.6% q/q and 3.5% y/y, down from 3.8% y/y in the previous quarter. It is noteworthy that despite a near two percentage point increase in the unemployment rate, core inflation was not reduced to an annual rate consistent with the RBA’s 2-3% target range during the recent economic downturn.
posted on 25 January 2010 by skirchner in CPI, Economics, Financial Markets, Monetary Policy
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