Working Papers

Labor’s Tax Policy

Sinclair Davidson and Alex Robson on Labor’s tax policy:

Treasurer Peter Costello is correct when he claims there is a higher tax burden for some taxpayers under the ALP plan: all taxpayers earning between $37,000 and $102,000 will be worse off under Labor.

But the flip side is that some taxpayers will have a lower tax burden and be better off under Labor.

This can be confirmed simply by inspecting the table of figures released by the Treasurer on Sunday. After 2013, for example, those on incomes of $102,000 and above will be better off under Labor because they face lower marginal and average tax rates.

This part of Labor’s plan makes good economic sense. Nobel laureate James Mirrlees, who is leading a comprehensive review of tax policy in Britain, has shown that, even allowing for changes in income inequality, marginal tax rates should fall, not rise, as income increases. This is because the negative supply-side consequences of higher income taxes tend to swamp the inequality effects.

The most recent economic evidence from the US suggests higher income earners - those who will benefit most from Labor’s plan - tend to be the most responsive to changes in their taxable income. By flattening the tax structure, both tax plans move in the right direction.

posted on 26 October 2007 by skirchner in Economics, Financial Markets, Politics

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This seems like an awful lot of analysis for a tax policy that will almost certainly never be implemented.  Rudd has already identified his escape clauses and after the RBA hikes in November and December its an easy out to say the tax cuts won’t happen because (you guessed it) ‘it will put upward pressure on interest rates’.

Governments tend to be brave in their first two terms, after which they inevitably resort to pork-barreling to get re-elected.  Who knows what Rudd and Swan have planned.  I’m 99% certain its not the Costello/Howard tax ‘plan’ though.  OTOH, Howard and Costello have little to offer now except pork and F-E-A-R!

Look!  The economic tsunami is coming!  Beware the Chinese economy!

Hello?  There I was thinking the China boom was driving Australia’s growth.  Thank God we have the steady can of Captain Costello to guide us through these stormy economic times.

Posted by .(JavaScript must be enabled to view this email address)  on  10/26  at  02:53 PM

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