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The US is central to this China trade quarrel

I have an op-ed in The Canberra Times on why Australia-China trade tensions are as much about our trade and industry policy as they are about our foreign policy.

posted on 25 May 2020 by skirchner in Free Trade & Protectionism

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Birmingham on thin ice challenging China to take Australia to the WTO

I have an op-ed in the AFR arguing our barley producers are just as much casualties of Australian industry and trade policy as they are of Chinese foreign policy. As one trade lawyer put it to me, China will wait for Australia to launch a WTO case, then retaliate with WTO complaints against our duties on Chinese imports and negotiate the cases jointly at the WTO.

posted on 15 May 2020 by skirchner in Free Trade & Protectionism

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Failure to converge? The Australia-US productivity gap in long-run perspective

I have a new report out with the United States Studies Centre on the Australia-US productivity gap in long-run perspective.

The report discusses the relationship between US and Australian productivity and how the openness of the Australian economy has allowed us to import productivity trends from the global frontier represented by the United States.

A key implication is that the globalisation of the Australian economy is an important determinant of Australian productivity growth. The slower pace of globalisation since the mid-2000s explains the slowdown in productivity growth in ways that competing explanations do not.

The report concludes that re-establishing and improving Australia’s international connectedness must be a priority for Australian policymakers in the aftermath of the pandemic.

posted on 16 April 2020 by skirchner in Free Trade & Protectionism

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US-China trade deal is spin for Trump’s failed protectionism

I have an op-ed in the AFR on the US-China ‘phase one’ trade deal noting its lack of substance in law and economics. To the extent that third parties like Australia are adversely affected by trade diversion, they could mount a case against China at the WTO.

posted on 23 January 2020 by skirchner in Free Trade & Protectionism

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US protectionism a costly failure

I have an op-ed in the AFR explaining why the ‘phase one’ US-China trade deal exemplifies the costly failure of President Trump’s protectionist trade diplomacy.

posted on 17 December 2019 by skirchner in Free Trade & Protectionism

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Could the US-China trade deal save or sink Trump?

I talk to the United States Studies Center’s @2020VisionCast podcast about last week’s tentative trade deal between the US and China, US Commerce Secretary Wilbur Ross’s visit to Australia and other topics.

posted on 16 October 2019 by skirchner in Free Trade & Protectionism

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Trump’s fake trade deal comes at a high price for global economy

I have an op-ed in the AFR on the tentative trade deal the Trump Administration has negotiated with China. While partially forestalling further tariff increases, enormous economic damage has already been done and will get worse in 2020.

posted on 14 October 2019 by skirchner in Free Trade & Protectionism

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Why a US-China deal won’t end the trade war

With the US-China trade talks on the brink of collapse, I have an op-ed in the AFR on why a trade deal won’t resolve uncertainty over tariffs

posted on 09 May 2019 by skirchner in Free Trade & Protectionism

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Debate Papers: Will the global trading system survive President Trump’s tariffs

In the latest installment of the United States Studies Centre’s Debate Papers series, Alan Oxley takes the affirmative and I take the negative on whether the global trading system will survive President Trump’s tariffs.

posted on 04 September 2018 by skirchner in Free Trade & Protectionism

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State of confusion: How policy uncertainty harms international trade and investment

I have a new report out with the United State Studies Centre, State of confusion: How policy uncertainty harms international trade and investment.

posted on 21 August 2018 by skirchner in Foreign Investment, Free Trade & Protectionism, Rule of Law

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World trade is squarely in the firing line of the Trump revolution

I get a mention in this article by David Uren on the end game for the Trump Administration’s trade war with the rest of the world.

posted on 19 July 2018 by skirchner in Free Trade & Protectionism

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Donald Trump and US tariffs: A 1930s-style trade war will be hard to avert

I have a piece at ABC News Online arguing we should not underestimate the seriousness of the trade war unfolding between the US and the rest of the world.

posted on 11 July 2018 by skirchner in Free Trade & Protectionism

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Trump’s tariff war doesn’t play to America’s great strengths

I have an op-ed in today’s AFR on America’s move away from its traditional open door policy towards foreign investment. Text below the fold.

continue reading

posted on 05 July 2018 by skirchner in Foreign Investment, Free Trade & Protectionism

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Trump Administration Divided on Trade Policy

I have an op-ed in the AFR noting the contradictions in US international economic policy. Full text below the fold (may differ slightly from edited AFR version).

continue reading

posted on 23 May 2018 by skirchner in Free Trade & Protectionism

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Trump pursuing the wrong strategy against China

I have an op-ed in the AFR arguing President Trump is pursuing the wrong trade policy strategy against China. Full text below the fold.

continue reading

posted on 09 April 2018 by skirchner in Free Trade & Protectionism

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