Working Papers

Betting on the RBA

Someone was betting big on the outcome of today’s RBA Board meeting:

a Centrebet regular, has staked just short of $30,000 on the Reserve Bank sitting on its hands.

If at 2.30pm the bank announces its board has decided to keep rates on hold, he will walk away with a profit of $21,000. If it puts rates up, he will say goodbye to $29,500.

‘‘He is very confident. He placed four separate bets, continuing to pile in as the odds went down,’’ said Centrebet’s Neil Evans.

‘‘Another punter staked $5000 on there being no change, another $3500.

‘‘It’s the house against the punters. I am hoping they don’t know something I don’t.’‘

They didn’t.

posted on 02 March 2010 by skirchner in Economics, Financial Markets, Monetary Policy

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